Event Title:

SIPES Luncheon

Event Date/Time:

Start: 11/17/2005 11:15:00 AM
End: 11/17/2005 1:00:00 PM

Speaker:

Fred L. Oliver

Greenbriar Operating Co., Dallas, TX

President and Independent Consultant

Location:

Petroleum Club of Houston

Pricing:

	Before 15-Nov-05
Member:	$0.00
Non-Member:	$0.00

Event Deadline:

11/15/2005 11:45

Event Notes:

Beware of Global Cooling

Over the past several years the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (The UN-IPCC) has presented a significant amount of global climate data indicating a prediction of catastrophic future increase in average global temperatures caused by an excessive influx of human-generated carbon dioxide (CO2) from the burning of fossil fuels for the generation of human required energy. For the most part, the UN scientific studies justifying such a conclusion are based on Global Climate Models (GCMs) with climate simulations from computer mathematical calculations and simulations. These studies have resulted in the UN-IPCC Kyoto Protocol calling for a treaty among all nations of the world to limit or reduce the amount of atmospheric CO2 by reducing the use of fossil fuels. This may be an interesting scientific concept, but it comes at a time when there is no real current substitute for the generation of energy requirements from the burning of fossil fuels, and it is not believed the global economy could afford such major investments in such removal, and the invention of unknown energy substitutes or alternatives seem far in the future. It is not believed the growing global population could afford to essentially go back to the horse and buggy days for many reasons. It is concluded the experiment would not be successful in reducing the rate of CO2 influx or in reducing the many natural causes for climate and temperature changes in any recognizable manner. If the experiment were successful, it would not be adequate to overcome the many natural geologic reasons for the perpetual climate changes demonstrated from the historical geologic record on all time scales. The global temperature would not be significantly changed. However, the form of global governments and their sovereignty including the United States could be changed substantially from such United Nations control. I do not believe the United States should agree with these possibilities and ratify the Kyoto Protocol even if it were proven the limiting or removal of some small percentage of atmospheric CO2 was possible and may have some effect of the average global temperature.

There are serious questions concerning the validity of the GCMs and their mathematical simulations because of the large number of natural causes for climate changes, many of them unknown, inadequately measured and the magnitude of the effects unknown and the interrelationships of global changes in the attitude of the earth in relation to the sun.

A study of the paleo-geologic perspective of climate change indicated the current average global temperatures are well within the range of prior historical climates and temperature, in the past all caused by natural physical causes. The output from the sun has changed over geologic time. The physical surface of earth has changed as has the attitude in relation to the radiant heat source for the sun.

This article will attempt to prove the paleo-geological relationship with the ever-changing global climate and the futility of attempting to change the climate with the removal of a small amount of CO2 from the atmosphere.

There have been about 17 ice ages during the latest 2 million years of the earth's history. In general, ice ages last about 100,000 years and interglacial global warming periods last about 10,000 to 14,000 years. The Current Holocene warming period has lasted for over 10,000 years. What do you believe is coming next in the form of major climate change? There is good geological evidence for past climate changes and good evidence that the current warming period is one of the natural changes not caused by an anthropogenic change of a small amount of CO2 volume in the atmosphere. The percentage of change may be great, but the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere has over 50-times more effect on the global warmth and it is also much more volatile.

Petroleum geologists, geophysicists, and petroleum engineers need to help the population understand the scientific physical reasons for climate change and protect the populations from spending exorbitant amounts of money in attempting to prevent such natural changes.

Event Comments:

For reservations, use the SIPES website or call or e-mail Ms. B. K. Starbuck-Buongiorno at 713-651-1639 or bkspee@aol.com. While you can register on the SIPES website, you must still send your check my mail to the SIPES office at 1001 McKinney, Suite 801, Houston, TX 77002 or pay at the door. $30 for SIPES members and affiliates, with reservations. $35 for non-members and walk-ups. Unpaid no-shows will be billed.

Speaker Information:

Fred Oliver is an Independent Petroleum Geologist and Petroleum Engineer who actively pursues oil and gas prospects as well as production. He also claims on occasion to be semi-retired. He was born in Amarillo, grew up in San Antonio, was graduated with degrees in Physics and Geology from the University of Texas at Austin. He served as a Carrier Certified Pilot USNR during WW II.

Mr. Oliver’s employment history includes time with Stanolind Oil & Gas Company, DeGloyer & MacNaughton, Inc, Oliver and West, Inc., and President of Greenbrier Operating Co. He is currently President of Petroleum Ventures of Texas, Inc. Mr. Oliver has published a variety of works, including an Annual Report of the Kansas Oil Scouts Association and articles on the S. Texas Wilcox Trend, the Slocum Woodbine Field, the East Texas Fairway Field, and The Jeffress Field of Hidalgo County, Texas. He has also published a work on the Classification of Petroleum Reservoir Traps in The Production Handbook by McGraw Hill. He prefers to title his Scientific Perspective of Global Climate Change as: “Beware of Global Cooling.”

Fred has been an active member of his professional societies having held various offices in AAPG, SPE, TIPRO, SIPES, and SPEE. He is an AAPG Trustee Associate, and has recently been named Chairman of the Advisory Council, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin.

Contact Name:

Ms. B. K. Starbuck-Buongiorno

Contact Phone:

(713) 651-1639

Contact Fax:

Contact Email:

bkspee@aol.com